新西兰社会科学论文代写:ENSO对中国经济的影响

新西兰社会科学论文代写:ENSO对中国经济的影响

除了从农业的角度,可以成功地评估ENSO对中国各省总体情况的影响。据《中国日报》报道,2016年,厄尔尼诺造成的强烈天气波动导致湖北、湖南、江西等省降雨偏多,导致这些省洪水泛滥(“ENSO effect on China”,2017)。根据国家气候中心的数据,每隔一年,厄尔尼诺现象在中国沿海地区的剧烈波动都会给这些省份带来严重的经济损失。据《中国日报》报道,厄尔尼诺现象引发的洪水在中国南部、西南部和东部14个省的573个国家造成灾害、人员伤亡和农业损失。由此造成的经济损失估计在138亿元左右,比2000年厄尔尼诺影响造成的平均经济损失估计高出59%左右(Chen, Chen & Xu, 2014)。

新西兰社会科学论文代写:ENSO对中国经济的影响

全文首先着重于数据的可获得性和正在进行的研究,这些研究对ENSO对中国整体经济的积极和消极影响提出了有争议的观点。从报告中可以看出,厄尔尼诺温度的变化导致的天气状况的波动,纯粹是中国经济状况好坏的原因。因此,很难预测未来厄尔尼诺将导致的天气状况的变化,以便在该国创造更稳定的经济条件。然而,从以上讨论中也可以看出,缺乏合适的替代方法来防止水稻产量的短缺也是湖南、江西等地国内经济不景气的原因之一。为了抑制未来的负面经济影响,国家和各省需要使用现代化的灌溉设施,以防止ENSO波动期间的干旱和洪水。

新西兰社会科学论文代写:ENSO对中国经济的影响

Apart from the agricultural perspectives, the effect of ENSO on the overall situations prevailing in different provinces of China can be successfully evaluated. As per the reports of the China Daily, in 2016, the strong weather fluctuation caused due to El Nino resulted in high rainfall in different parts of Hubei, Hunan and Jiangxi thereby resulting in heavy flooding in these provinces (“ENSO effect on China”, 2017). As per the National Climate Centre, every alternate year, the strong fluctuations of the El Nino in the coastal regions of China results in high economic damage to these provinces. The reports of the China Daily show that the flood resulting from the El Nino caused disasters, loss of human property and loss of agriculture in around 573 countries in 14 provincial areas in South, Southwest and East China. The resulting economic losses were estimated to be around 13.8 billion Yuan which was around 59% more than the average economic losses estimated in the year 2000 resulting from the El Nino affects (Chen, Chen & Xu, 2014).

新西兰社会科学论文代写:ENSO对中国经济的影响

The overall essay firstly focuses on the availability of data and the ongoing researches which shows debatable views on the positive and negative effect of ENSO on the overall Chinese economy. Concluding from the reports, it can be seen that fluctuations in the weather conditions due to the changes in the El Nino temperatures are purely the cause behind the good and the bad economic conditions of China. Thus, it is very difficult to predict the changing weather conditions that would result from El Nino in future in order to create a more stable economic condition in the country. However, from the above discussion, it can also be observed that the absence of suitable alternative methods to prevent the shortfall in the rice production is also a reason behind the poor domestic economy in parts of Hunan, Jiangxi and other parts of China. In order to curb the negative economic effects in future, the country and the provinces are required to use modern irrigational facilities which will prevent draught and flood during the ENSO fluctuations.

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